Fraga vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1988 |
AND
3 - 1
FRA
70%
20%
11%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
FRA
1 - 1
MOL
37%
29%
35%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
MHN
2 - 1
FRA
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
MIR
3 - 0
FRA
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
FRA
3 - 0
GIR
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1988 |
PBL
1 - 1
GIR
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
SER
2 - 2
PBL
32%
30%
39%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
PBL
1 - 1
FCA
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1988 |
PBL
1 - 1
ZAR
35%
29%
36%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
OSA
1 - 1
PBL
43%
28%
29%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |