Fraga vs UD Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 0
FRA
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 2
UDC
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 3
FRA
10%
19%
71%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FRA
6 - 0
PEN
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FRA
5 - 0
ALC
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
UDM
0 - 2
ATL
38%
24%
37%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UDC
0 - 1
UDM
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
UDM
3 - 2
CDM
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 5
UDM
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UDM
2 - 1
ALC
31%
24%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |