Fraga vs CFJ Mollerussa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
FCA
1 - 0
FRA
59%
24%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
FRA
0 - 2
BAS
60%
24%
15%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
GIM
1 - 1
FRA
58%
24%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
FRA
1 - 1
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
HOS
1 - 1
FRA
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
CFJ Mollerussa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
MOL
3 - 0
BIN
59%
23%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
MHN
0 - 0
MOL
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
FCA
4 - 1
MOL
44%
28%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
MOL
4 - 0
BAS
64%
23%
13%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
GIM
1 - 1
MOL
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |