Fraga vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
23.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1992 |
UES
6 - 1
FRA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
FRA
2 - 5
ZAR
43%
29%
28%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
RSO
2 - 1
FRA
61%
23%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
FRA
3 - 2
HER
44%
29%
27%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1992 |
ALA
4 - 0
FRA
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1992 |
LEM
2 - 1
BIN
55%
26%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
MOL
1 - 2
LEM
44%
29%
27%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
LEM
1 - 4
FCA
35%
30%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
0 - 0
LEM
57%
27%
16%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
LEM
0 - 0
GIM
47%
29%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |