UD Fraga vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAB
2 - 0
FRA
60%
22%
18%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
AND
5 - 0
FRA
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 1
CFV
50%
24%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
FRA
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 4
UFC
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ICF
0 - 3
TAR
21%
24%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
ICF
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ICF
2 - 0
BEL
58%
23%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CFA
2 - 2
ICF
63%
20%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ICF
1 - 3
TER
22%
25%
52%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |