Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-5
Fraga vs Huesca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
FRA
3 - 2
ACF
86%
11%
3%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
HUE
2 - 2
FRA
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1992 |
FRA
1 - 0
LEM
49%
28%
23%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
UES
6 - 1
FRA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
FRA
2 - 5
ZAR
43%
29%
28%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Huesca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
HUE
3 - 1
SAB
79%
15%
7%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
HUE
2 - 2
FRA
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
MOL
4 - 2
HUE
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
HUE
3 - 3
FCA
26%
30%
45%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 2
HUE
69%
20%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |