Fraga vs Caspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CFA
2 - 1
FRA
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
ICF
25%
24%
52%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TAM
4 - 1
FRA
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 2
TAR
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
EJE
3 - 1
FRA
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
CFV
26%
25%
49%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
CAS
69%
19%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
CDC
18%
23%
60%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TER
5 - 2
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAB
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |