Fraga vs Barbastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
ZUE
2 - 1
FRA
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FRA
1 - 0
UDC
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
CFJ
1 - 2
FRA
17%
25%
58%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
FRA
1 - 1
UFC
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
FIG
0 - 1
FRA
19%
26%
55%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Barbastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 0
UFC
68%
21%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FIG
0 - 3
BAR
17%
25%
58%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 0
FUE
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CDE
0 - 2
BAR
30%
29%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
BAR
5 - 1
HUE
27%
26%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |