Fraga vs Atlético Escalerillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UFC
1 - 1
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 3
AND
18%
24%
58%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 0
VIL
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 1
FRA
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 1
ATL
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Escalerillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
TAR
21%
24%
56%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
BEL
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CFA
1 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
TER
16%
23%
61%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |