Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-3
Fraga vs Andorra CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
FRA
2 - 0
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
AND
1 - 2
FRA
80%
12%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ARN
2 - 2
FRA
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
FRA
4 - 0
ATC
85%
11%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
CDM
0 - 0
FRA
21%
26%
53%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Andorra CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
AND
3 - 2
PBL
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
AND
1 - 2
FRA
80%
12%
9%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
MIR
0 - 2
AND
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
AND
2 - 2
BAR
90%
8%
3%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
EJE
1 - 2
AND
13%
22%
65%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |