Fraga vs Almudévar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ICF
2 - 0
FRA
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 2
TAM
34%
24%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TAR
3 - 2
FRA
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
EJE
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +3 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
CFV
48%
24%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Almudévar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CFA
3 - 0
CFV
62%
21%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
CFA
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CFA
2 - 0
CDC
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TER
2 - 2
CFA
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CFA
2 - 2
SAB
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |