Fraga vs Alcolea CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FRA
5 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
9%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SAB
2 - 1
FRA
18%
22%
59%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 0
CFJ
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 2
FRA
11%
19%
70%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 2
VIL
69%
19%
11%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alcolea CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
UDC
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDM
0 - 1
ALC
13%
20%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ABI
1 - 1
ALC
30%
24%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |