CD Foz vs Lourenzá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Foz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
OUT
3 - 0
FOZ
38%
26%
36%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FOZ
1 - 1
GUN
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAT
3 - 1
FOZ
71%
16%
12%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FOZ
3 - 0
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MEI
0 - 0
FOZ
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 2
POL
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 0
LOU
39%
24%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
LOU
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
OUT
21%
23%
57%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUN
3 - 0
LOU
37%
24%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |