CD Foz vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Foz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
DEP
4 - 0
FOZ
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
GRA
4 - 0
FOZ
73%
16%
12%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
FOZ
0 - 1
CEL
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
LEM
1 - 1
FOZ
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
FOZ
3 - 2
ALO
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ACF
0 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
LEM
4 - 1
ACF
52%
23%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
ACF
1 - 1
ARO
52%
23%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 1
ACF
47%
24%
30%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ACF
2 - 0
VIV
66%
20%
15%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |