FOX Villa vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FOX Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
5 - 1
FVI
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
DIR
3 - 1
FVI
63%
22%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
UNA
1 - 0
FVI
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FVI
0 - 2
MAN
30%
29%
41%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
JUV
5 - 2
FVI
52%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
SAP
3 - 0
EST
57%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
KCW
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
REA
0 - 2
EST
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
SAP
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
EST
4 - 1
JAP
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |