Forward Madison vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
6º
65
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NCO
2 - 0
FMA
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 2
LSC
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
FMA
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
NCO
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 0
RIC
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 4
OMA
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
OMA
4 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
OMA
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
OMA
2 - 1
CVF
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CRW
2 - 3
OMA
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |