Forward Madison vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
ORL
2 - 1
FMA
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
FMA
0 - 1
LIG
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 1
FMA
33%
23%
44%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FMA
0 - 4
HER
9%
16%
75%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
NOT
3 - 1
FMA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
ORL
1 - 2
TUC
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
TUC
0 - 0
RIC
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
TUC
2 - 2
ORL
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
TUC
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
TUC
4 - 0
CRW
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |