Forward Madison vs Toronto II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FMA
2 - 1
TOR
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 2
FMA
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CRW
1 - 1
FMA
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 1
IMI
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 1
FMA
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
RIC
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
GTR
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
NER
1 - 0
TOR
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 4
TOR
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
NER
1 - 0
TOR
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |