Forward Madison vs Orlando City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 1
FMA
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
FMA
4 - 0
TOR
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
RIC
1 - 0
FMA
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
FMA
0 - 0
GTR
39%
27%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 1
FMA
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Orlando City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 4
TUC
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 1
IMI
27%
24%
50%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
NER
0 - 2
ORL
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +3 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 0
ORL
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RIC
2 - 0
ORL
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |