Forward Madison vs Northern Colorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
6º
2º
39
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 1
CVF
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
RIC
2 - 1
FMA
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
OMA
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 0
TOR
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
4 - 1
LSC
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
OKS
1 - 0
NCO
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NCO
0 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NCO
2 - 2
CVF
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
RIC
0 - 2
NCO
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
NCO
2 - 1
OKS
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |