Forward Madison vs North Texas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
FMA
2 - 2
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FMA
2 - 1
TOR
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 2
FMA
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CRW
1 - 1
FMA
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 1
IMI
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
CRW
1 - 1
NOT
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TUC
0 - 2
NOT
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 1
NOT
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
CRW
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |