Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
FMA
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 0
RIC
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
FMA
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 1
NOT
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
FMA
2 - 2
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Greenville Triumph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
GTR
3 - 3
TUC
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GTR
1 - 0
CRW
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GTR
3 - 0
TOR
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TUC
2 - 1
GTR
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
GTR
0 - 2
RIC
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |