Forward Madison vs Fuego FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
6º
2º
12
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 45 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 38 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 37 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 23 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
11º
|
46% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 17 |
12º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
RIC
2 - 1
FMA
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
OMA
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 0
TOR
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
4 - 1
LSC
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 3
FMA
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NCO
2 - 2
CVF
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 1
RIC
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CVF
0 - 2
OKS
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 3
CHA
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CVF
2 - 4
CRW
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |