Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRO
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
PSV
3 - 0
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
FOR
0 - 0
RKC
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
RJC
1 - 1
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1995 |
FOR
1 - 0
FEY
12%
23%
64%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 0
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 2
GAE
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1995 |
SPA
1 - 1
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
NEC
1 - 1
WIL
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |