Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1989 |
PSV
1 - 0
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1989 |
FOR
0 - 1
BOS
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
RKC
3 - 2
FOR
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
FOR
1 - 0
VVV
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
RJC
1 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1989 |
BOS
5 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
WIL
5 - 1
VVV
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
VOL
0 - 2
WIL
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
WIL
1 - 2
FEY
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
MVV
0 - 2
WIL
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |