Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
FEY
2 - 1
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
FOR
1 - 1
VVV
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
VOL
0 - 2
FOR
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
FOR
3 - 2
BOS
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
RJC
0 - 2
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
ADO
0 - 0
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
WIL
1 - 0
UTR
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1987 |
TWE
1 - 0
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
WIL
0 - 6
PSV
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |