Fortuna Sittard vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
64.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
16º
15º
18
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 72 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 67 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 65 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 63 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 62 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 61 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 43 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 43 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 41 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 50.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 17% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 10% |
|
Next round
|
5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
FOR
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
FCO
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 3
NEC
32%
24%
45%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GNK
2 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 1
PSV
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 0
GAE
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 7
PSV
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 3
PSV
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |