Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
PSV
3 - 1
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
FOR
3 - 2
SPA
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
FOR
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 1
HEL
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
FEY
1 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 1
UTR
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
WIL
4 - 0
NEC
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 0
AZA
17%
22%
62%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |