Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-0
Fortuna Sittard vs KB København analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
FOR
0 - 4
AZA
17%
19%
63%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
KBK
0 - 0
FOR
30%
22%
48%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
FOR
1 - 1
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
SPA
3 - 2
FOR
78%
14%
9%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
FOR
1 - 2
MVV
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
KB København
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
KBK
0 - 0
FOR
30%
22%
48%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
FCU
4 - 1
KBK
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
KBK
1 - 0
FCU
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ATH
2 - 2
KBK
70%
16%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
KBK
1 - 1
ATH
44%
22%
34%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |