Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
VVV
0 - 3
FOR
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRO
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
PSV
2 - 1
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
FOR
1 - 1
AZA
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 1
FOR
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
HER
0 - 3
BOS
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
HFC
5 - 2
HER
57%
22%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
HER
2 - 3
UTR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
FEY
5 - 1
HER
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
HER
1 - 0
GAE
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |