Fortuna Sittard vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
VOL
3 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
FCE
1 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 3
HEL
20%
23%
58%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 1
EXC
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
GAE
1 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
HFC
0 - 1
HER
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
HFC
1 - 4
APE
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2005 |
HFC
0 - 0
BVV
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
SPA
6 - 1
HFC
79%
13%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
TEL
3 - 1
HFC
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |