Fortuna Sittard vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 3
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
GAE
1 - 2
FOR
63%
20%
16%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
FOR
3 - 2
HEL
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
FEY
4 - 1
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
HEL
1 - 0
HFC
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 0
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
UTR
4 - 1
HFC
65%
20%
14%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
HFC
2 - 0
WIL
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
AZA
0 - 1
HFC
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |