Fortuna Sittard vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
14º
11º
32
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 76 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 51 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
65.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Next round
|
13% | 82% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
EIN
2 - 1
FOR
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UTR
2 - 5
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
QUI
3 - 1
FOR
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 2
RKC
50%
24%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
FOR
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MAL
1 - 1
GAE
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GAE
2 - 1
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
GAE
43%
25%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
UTR
3 - 3
GAE
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GAE
5 - 0
NEC
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |