Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
VOL
3 - 2
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
BVO
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
BOS
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
EIN
0 - 3
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALM
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
BOS
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
5 - 0
ALM
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
FCE
3 - 1
EXC
39%
25%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
HEL
1 - 1
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |