Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
SPA
3 - 2
FOR
78%
14%
9%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
FOR
1 - 2
MVV
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1984 |
FOR
1 - 0
ZWO
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
TWE
3 - 2
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
FOR
5 - 2
VOL
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
EXC
3 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
91%
7%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 1
SPA
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
AZA
2 - 1
EXC
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |