Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
68.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
S04
1 - 1
FOR
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
UTR
17%
21%
62%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 1
FOR
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
GEN
0 - 1
AZA
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
AZA
1 - 0
GRO
70%
18%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
AZA
4 - 1
WIL
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
AZA
4 - 1
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |