Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
BOS
2 - 4
FOR
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
FOR
6 - 0
RKC
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 3
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
HEL
1 - 3
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AZA
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
AZA
5 - 0
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VVV
0 - 2
AZA
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
AZA
2 - 0
TWE
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |