Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 1
FOR
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
RJC
2 - 3
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1985 |
FOR
3 - 2
FEY
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
UTR
2 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
FOR
2 - 2
GRO
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 4
BOS
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1985 |
VOL
5 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 1
RJC
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
FEY
1 - 1
AZA
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 0
UTR
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |