Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
PSV
2 - 0
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
FOR
0 - 0
DWS
38%
30%
33%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
MVV
1 - 0
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
FOR
0 - 0
FEY
10%
16%
74%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
TWE
3 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
AZA
1 - 1
SPA
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
NAC
6 - 0
AZA
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 0
GAE
28%
23%
49%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
GRO
0 - 0
AZA
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
AZA
1 - 1
ADO
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |