Fortuna Sittard vs Achilles 29 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
TEL
3 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 5
FCD
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 3
FOR
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 6
VOL
15%
20%
66%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
HEL
0 - 2
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 1
BOS
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 0
ACH
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GAE
3 - 2
ACH
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
ACH
1 - 0
FCO
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 0
RKC
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |