Fortuna Sittard Sub 21 vs Heracles Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
64.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
VOL
2 - 2
FOR
56%
21%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 2
DOR
64%
19%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
VVV
1 - 2
FOR
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 4
GRO
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 3
HER
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
HER
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
PEC
3 - 3
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
HER
2 - 4
VIT
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
ADO
0 - 2
HER
26%
22%
52%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 1
HER
36%
22%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |