Fortuna Köln vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
KSC
3 - 1
KÖL
64%
21%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
KÖL
0 - 1
HAL
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
KÖL
1 - 2
BSC
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
PRE
0 - 2
KÖL
57%
23%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
SGS
1 - 1
KÖL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
ZWI
0 - 1
EBT
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
MAG
3 - 2
ZWI
55%
23%
21%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
ERF
1 - 1
ZWI
26%
24%
50%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
HAL
2 - 0
ZWI
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
PRE
0 - 2
ZWI
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |