Fortuna Köln vs Wuppertaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1978 |
WAT
5 - 2
KÖL
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
ARB
2 - 4
KÖL
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
KÖL
3 - 1
WHE
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 2
KÖL
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
KÖL
3 - 2
HAN
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Wuppertaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1978 |
WUP
3 - 1
SCH
73%
17%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
WAT
0 - 2
WUP
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
WUP
3 - 1
ARB
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
WHE
1 - 1
WUP
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
WUP
1 - 3
SWE
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |