Fortuna Köln vs Wormatia Worms analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1981 |
KÖL
2 - 2
HAN
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
BAY
4 - 2
KÖL
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
KÖL
2 - 2
WAL
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
AAA
1 - 0
KÖL
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 2
FRE
64%
19%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wormatia Worms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1982 |
WWO
1 - 1
SGF
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1981 |
WWO
0 - 2
FSV
57%
22%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
HER
2 - 1
WWO
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
WWO
0 - 3
S04
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
HAN
5 - 0
WWO
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |