Fortuna Köln vs Wolfsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.2%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 0
KÖL
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
KÖL
1 - 1
AAA
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
SWE
3 - 2
KÖL
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 2
OSN
60%
21%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
BSC
2 - 3
KÖL
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
WOL
0 - 1
LEV
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
WOL
0 - 1
AHA
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
ARB
5 - 0
WOL
72%
19%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1976 |
WOL
1 - 1
AAA
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
SWE
2 - 0
WOL
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |