Fortuna Köln vs Wiedenbrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 0
SPE
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
SPR
0 - 1
KÖL
12%
19%
70%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
KÖL
3 - 1
GEW
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
WHE
2 - 3
KÖL
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
KÖL
2 - 4
MSV
66%
19%
14%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wiedenbrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 1
WIE
74%
16%
9%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
WIE
2 - 2
ESS
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
DSC
2 - 0
WIE
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
WIE
3 - 3
BOC
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SPR
5 - 0
WIE
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -2 |