Fortuna Köln vs Westfalia Herne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 2
KÖL
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 0
WEG
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 1
KÖL
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 1
GEW
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 1
KÖL
25%
24%
52%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 2
WHE
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
WHE
4 - 1
AAA
20%
24%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +4 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WHE
0 - 0
SPE
33%
26%
41%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
WEG
3 - 1
WHE
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
WHE
1 - 3
SPO
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |