Fortuna Köln vs Westfalia Herne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1979 |
WAT
1 - 1
KÖL
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
KÖL
3 - 1
WAB
81%
12%
6%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
KFC
2 - 0
KÖL
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
KÖL
1 - 0
AAA
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1979 |
KÖL
4 - 2
OSN
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
WHE
4 - 1
VIK
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
STP
0 - 0
WHE
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1979 |
TEN
2 - 1
WHE
53%
24%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
WHE
2 - 1
WAT
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
WAB
0 - 3
WHE
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |