Fortuna Köln vs Westfalia Herne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 2
KÖL
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
KÖL
3 - 2
HAN
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
PRE
3 - 1
KÖL
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1977 |
KÖL
2 - 2
USO
80%
13%
6%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
TEN
1 - 3
KÖL
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
WHE
1 - 1
WUP
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
WHE
0 - 1
SWE
70%
16%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
WAT
2 - 2
WHE
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
SWE
0 - 0
WHE
44%
23%
33%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
WHE
2 - 0
ARB
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |