Fortuna Köln vs Westfalia Herne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
SWE
1 - 1
KÖL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 0
LEV
87%
10%
3%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
STP
2 - 1
KÖL
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
PRE
2 - 1
KÖL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
KÖL
2 - 0
USO
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
WHE
0 - 1
DJK
60%
19%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1976 |
WAT
2 - 0
WHE
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
WHE
2 - 1
BVB
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
WHE
2 - 0
AAA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
FCM
0 - 0
WHE
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |